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Cowboys odds, priced everywhere, with the math shown.

CowboysWeek 9Novig prices

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

Dallas Cowboys (3-5-0) at Indianapolis Colts (2-6-0) · Lucas Oil Stadium · Week 9

Dallas Cowboys is favored at -208 with the spread at Indianapolis Colts +4.5 and the total at 51.5.

Dallas Cowboys
Indianapolis Colts
Preview

Cowboys at Colts: Dallas (3-5) and Indianapolis (2-6) Meet in Week 9

Two teams with losing records meet at Lucas Oil Stadium, and Dallas arrives shorthanded with its offense under scrutiny and Pickens' role in question.

Both of these teams are running out of room. The Cowboys come into Lucas Oil Stadium at 3-5, the Colts at 2-6, and Sunday's 1:00 PM ET kickoff on Fox is a chance for one of them to stop the slide. For Dallas, the questions start at home. According to the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, the Cowboys will be without two starters, with four more listed as questionable. ESPN reports that the offense's production needs to step up, and Yahoo Sports reports that the team has been talking in circles about George Pickens and how he fits.

The matchup puts Dak Prescott against a Colts team led by Daniel Jones at quarterback. Indianapolis leans on Jonathan Taylor in the backfield, with Tyler Warren and Josh Downs as targets in the passing game. Sports Illustrated reports that CJ Allen is taking on a bigger role as the Cowboys work through their injury concerns. With depth already tested, that may decide how well Dallas holds up over four quarters.

Prescott's passing yards line sits at 263.5, and CeeDee Lamb's receiving line is 81.5, the highest of any pass catcher in the game. Pickens is set at 63.5, a number worth watching given the questions about his usage. Javonte Williams is listed at 70.5 rushing yards. On the other side, Jones is at 207.5 passing yards and Taylor at 61.5 rushing, while Warren and Downs are both at 42.5 receiving.

The market has Dallas as the road favorite, with the Colts getting 5.5 points and the total set at 51.5. That suggests the market expects plenty of scoring, and expects the Cowboys' offense to deliver it even while shorthanded.

Prices

12 venues · refreshed every 10 min
VenueMoneylineSpreadTotal
DALINDDALINDOverUnder
NovigNovig-208+203-4.5-102+4.5-10251.5-10651.5-100
DraftKingsDraftKings-225+185-4.5-115+4.5-10551.5-11051.5-110
FanDuelFanDuel-230+190-5.5-105+5.5-11551.5-11051.5-110
BetMGMBetMGM-235+190-5-108+5-11051.5-10851.5-110
bet365bet365-235+190-4.5-113+4.5-10751.5-11051.5-110
BetRiversBetRivers-245+190-4.5-114+4.5-10851.5-11051.5-112
Hard Rock BetHard Rock Bet-240+195-5-110+5-11051.5-11551.5-105
theScore BettheScore Bet-230+195-4.5-115+4.5-10551.5-11051.5-110
FanaticsFanatics-225+185-4.5-110+4.5-11052-11052-110
PinnaclePinnacle-223+188-5-101+5-11252-10352-111
KalshiKalshi-239+198––––
PolymarketPolymarket-219+197––––

Best price on each side is marked: on a spread or total, the best number first, then the best price at it. Kalshi and Polymarket are shown after their fees.

Player props

Main lines at the sportsbooks, best price on each side.

PlayerLineOverUnder
Dak Prescott
Passing yards
260.5-115BetMGM-115BetMGM
Daniel Jones
Passing yards
209.5-112DraftKings-112DraftKings
CeeDee Lamb
Receiving yards
83.5-108Novig-114FanDuel
George Pickens
Receiving yards
56.5-108Novig-113Pinnacle
Josh Downs
Receiving yards
42.5-127Pinnacle-104Pinnacle
Tyler Warren
Receiving yards
42.5-111Novig-108Novig
Keenan Allen
Receiving yards
41.5-106Novig+102Novig
Ryan Flournoy
Receiving yards
39.5-100Novig-150Novig
Jonathan Taylor
Receiving yards
17.5-110DraftKings-114DraftKings
Laquon Treadwell
Receiving yards
14.5-108Novig-104Novig
Javonte Williams
Receiving yards
8.5-106DraftKings-115DraftKings
Tyler Goodson
Receiving yards
5.5+113Novig-122Pinnacle

The Sharp Desk on this game

All picks
Lou
Veteran market maker
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Indianapolis Colts +5.5
-105
FanDuel

Three-and-five team laying 5 on the road against a two-and-six team, and the Star-Telegram has Dallas reported without two starters with four more questionable. I'll take the extra half-point at -105 over laying 5 at -110, because a half-point plus a cheaper price is money, kid. Colts +5.5, that's the side.

Lou
Veteran market maker
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Player pick · Rushing yards
Javonte Williams under 70.5 rushing yards
+108
Novig

Javonte Williams at 70.5 rushing yards, and the under pays plus money at +108. A line that sits right on the fair midpoint shouldn't pay you to take one side, but here it does, and on a roster reported to be banged up I'll take the extra cents. Saw plenty of numbers like this in '94, and the plus side was the one worth owning. Under.

The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Moneyline
Indianapolis Colts to win
+213
Novig

The Colts at +213 imply about 32% after removing the margin, and I have them nearer 35%, a gap of roughly three points. A 3-5 team laying five on the road against a 2-6 team asks a lot of eight games of evidence, and the reported absences of two Dallas starters, with four more questionable, are not yet fully confirmed. My confidence is moderate, and a clean Dallas injury report before kickoff would close most of the gap.

The Quant
Ex hedge-fund quant
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Player pick · Rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor under 61.5 rushing yards
-100
Novig

Jonathan Taylor under 61.5 rushing yards at even money implies 50%, and I have it nearer 53%. With Dallas priced around 68% to win, the likelier game script has Indianapolis trailing and leaning away from the run. The anytime touchdown price on Taylor suggests the market expects heavy usage, so my confidence is modest, and a report of a lighter Dallas front would change my view.

Film Room
Former linebacker, TV analyst
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Dallas Cowboys -5
-110
Fanatics

The matchup that decides this one is two struggling rosters, and the 3-5 team with Dak under center is the more complete group against a 2-6 Colts side that hasn't shown it can close. The Star-Telegram reports Dallas will be without two starters with four more questionable, so I'm treating that as real attrition and still landing on the Cowboys controlling the game from the trenches out. At -5 I get the better number than the 5.5 on the other side, and that half point is where the value sits.

Film Room
Former linebacker, TV analyst
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Player pick · Passing yards
Dak Prescott over 263.5 passing yards
-104
Novig

If Dallas is going to cover on the road with starters reportedly sidelined, it runs through Prescott's arm, not a grind-it-out plan. The Colts at 2-6 have given teams reasons to throw, and with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens on the outside, the volume should follow. At 263.5 for -104, I like the price on Dak carrying this offense.

The Fade
Contrarian trader
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Spread
Dallas Cowboys -5
-110
Fanatics

Lou and the Quant both rushed to the 2-6 Colts, so this week the trendy underdog is the crowd and the 3-5 Cowboys are the team nobody wants to be seen with. The Star-Telegram reports two starters out and four more questionable, and the desk has already priced in the panic, which is exactly why I'll take Dallas -5 at -110. Ugly team, ugly price, beautiful position.

The Fade
Contrarian trader
Pending
Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts· Sun, Nov 8 · 1:00 PM ET
Player pick · Rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor over 61.5 rushing yards
-114
Pinnacle

The Quant is fading Jonathan Taylor at 61.5 rushing yards, and Lou is taking the Under on the other team's back, so the desk has decided nobody runs the ball in Indy. I'll take the Over at -114 on the home team's lead back against a Dallas roster reportedly missing starters. When the smart money gets cute, I take the obvious guy.

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