Novig pricesCowboys to face 49ers without Mike Evans as San Francisco plays it safe
San Francisco will not have Mike Evans against Dallas on Sunday, though Kyle Shanahan says the receiver's recovery is going in the right direction.
The Dallas Cowboys will not see Mike Evans on Sunday. The San Francisco 49ers are holding their veteran wide receiver out of the Week 10 game against Dallas, which kicks off on Fox. Coach Kyle Shanahan still gave an upbeat update on the 33-year-old, NY Post Sports reported.
Shanahan told reporters Friday that Evans could probably play if the stakes were higher. The team wants the injury to heal fully so it does not flare up again. "It's going in the right direction," Shanahan said, according to the Post. The report did not say what the injury is. It described it as a tricky one and said San Francisco is being cautious with his return. No return date was given.
At 7-1 and leading the NFC West, the 49ers can afford to rest him. Injuries have hit their receiver room for much of the season, and the Post noted that a team aiming for the Super Bowl needs its top players healthy in January.
What it changes for Dallas
Evans being out takes a proven veteran target away from Brock Purdy, but the 49ers have reinforcements. San Francisco recently traded for Keenan Allen, who is available for this game. The Post said it is unclear how much the 49ers will use Allen in his first week. Dallas's defensive backs will still face an experienced receiver, just a different one, and possibly on a limited snap count.
The Cowboys need any break they can get. They are 4-5 after a 27-23 win at Indianapolis. Their games have been close and high-scoring all season. By ESPN's results, Dallas has scored 246 points and allowed 236 in nine games, about 27 points scored and 26 allowed per game. Four of their five losses were by a touchdown or less, and three of their four wins came on the road. A home win over the best team in the NFC would push them back to .500 before the Tennessee Titans come to Arlington next week.
What the market says
As of Sunday, San Francisco is favored at 65% across the 12 sportsbooks and prediction markets on this site's odds board. The two groups barely disagree: the sportsbooks put the 49ers at 66% and the prediction markets at 65%. Dallas is a 4-point underdog by consensus. The line runs from +3.5 to +5 depending on the venue, and the total sits at 55.5, with a range of 55.5 to 56.
Among the prediction markets, Novig has the shortest price on the 49ers at -186. Polymarket has them at -200 and Kalshi at -208. That Novig number is also the best 49ers moneyline anywhere. On the Dallas side, Hard Rock Bet has the top moneyline at +185, a little longer than Novig at +182, Polymarket at +180 and Kalshi at +173.
The spread varies more. Novig lists San Francisco -3.5 at -108, and Hard Rock Bet offers Dallas at +5 for -115. For the total, Novig has the over at 55.5 for -108, and BetMGM has the best under at 56 for -110. These prices are a snapshot from Sunday morning. They will keep moving until kickoff as news on Evans and Allen reaches the market.